Post Primary Comments and Clinton Results
Well, that was a drag. I had to go down to the Secretary of Agriculture race to find a candidate I supported who won. Go Denise, you organic, Earth Mother you. Other than that a pretty dissapointing night. I came in to watch returns at about 10:00 pm when the early results showed the 1st District congressional race something like 58-20-16-1 Dickinson, Gluba, Braley and Heath. We all knew that had to be Jackson and Dubuque County early returns heavilly favoring Dickinson. But still as the precincts reporting got into 50 and 60 percent Braley started creeping up making it 42-38 or so I had hope Rick might squeeze through. But it got closer and closer and closer until at last at midnight or so the last Blackhawk precincts put Bruce over the top. The governor's race was also tight but it was Blouin chasing Culver's five point lead all night.
My two takeaways: 1) I'm really happy with the Dem vs. GOP turnout numbers in the 1st District. Democrats turned out in higher numbers 29,386 to the GOP's 22,662 in a race tightly contested on both sides. That looks good for us in November. 2) Locally the Democrats also looked pretty good in relation to their November opponents. All the statehouse candidates are running unopposed but the number of votes cast is interesting. In Clinton County link State Senator, Roger Stewart, and State Rep., Polly Butka handily beat their GOP opponents, Clinton Mayor, LaMetta Wynn and Les Sheilds. Stewart got 1,030 to Wynn's 636 and Butka polled 938 to Sheilds' 541. New Democratic challenger Reg Kauffman has a way to go to unseat incumbent Republican State Representative, Steve Olson. Olson beat Kauffman 477 to 422. In Jackson County (no website) Roger Stewart stomped LaMetta Wynn 1740 to 319.
If LaMetta is going present any problems at all for Roger in November she is going to have to raise those Jackson County numbers A LOT while totally wiping Roger out in Clinton County. That's a tall order and I don't think it is doable. These are all primary numbers of course and turnout was pretty low -- abysmally low actually, considering the juicy Congressional primary. Turnout in November will be higher but my impression from yesterday is that the Democratic base is way more motivated than the Republican base right now.
My two takeaways: 1) I'm really happy with the Dem vs. GOP turnout numbers in the 1st District. Democrats turned out in higher numbers 29,386 to the GOP's 22,662 in a race tightly contested on both sides. That looks good for us in November. 2) Locally the Democrats also looked pretty good in relation to their November opponents. All the statehouse candidates are running unopposed but the number of votes cast is interesting. In Clinton County link State Senator, Roger Stewart, and State Rep., Polly Butka handily beat their GOP opponents, Clinton Mayor, LaMetta Wynn and Les Sheilds. Stewart got 1,030 to Wynn's 636 and Butka polled 938 to Sheilds' 541. New Democratic challenger Reg Kauffman has a way to go to unseat incumbent Republican State Representative, Steve Olson. Olson beat Kauffman 477 to 422. In Jackson County (no website) Roger Stewart stomped LaMetta Wynn 1740 to 319.
If LaMetta is going present any problems at all for Roger in November she is going to have to raise those Jackson County numbers A LOT while totally wiping Roger out in Clinton County. That's a tall order and I don't think it is doable. These are all primary numbers of course and turnout was pretty low -- abysmally low actually, considering the juicy Congressional primary. Turnout in November will be higher but my impression from yesterday is that the Democratic base is way more motivated than the Republican base right now.
posted by -cman- at 6/07/2006 08:34:00 AM
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