More Polling
Data points are coming in fast and furious now. The latest Des Moines Register poll came out Monday. Hey, sue me, I've been a bit preoccupied. Short version: Governor's race is a toss up, First District looks like Braley has a good lead but less than in previous polls.
The Governor's race is still tied within the margin of error as it has been through most of the polls done this far. The poll has the two candidates tied at 44 percent each with 10 percent undecided. Party loyalty is pretty strong but among Independents Nussle shows a slight edge, 42 to 40. Negatives for both candidates are pretty low, especially considering the advertising climate, only 10 percent claim negative feelings towards Culver while 16 percent feel negative about Nussle. Positive feelings are also low, Culver gets 13 percent warm fuzzies while Nussle gets 16 percent cuddly feelings.
That tells me that support is soft for both candidates. Combine that with a tight race and I think we are looking at a quick race into the mud as the race closes down.
Braley maintains a 44-37 lead over Mike Whalen. That is smaller than previous polls. Crucially however, Whalen trails Braley by 10 percent among Independents, with only 32 percent favoring him as opposed to the 42 percent for Braley. Also telling, the poll shows 11 percent support among Republicans for Bruce Braley wile Whalen picks up only 4 percent of Democrats.
Lastly, the generic ballot question shows a seven point lead for Democrats, 43 to 36 percent.
The Governor's race is still tied within the margin of error as it has been through most of the polls done this far. The poll has the two candidates tied at 44 percent each with 10 percent undecided. Party loyalty is pretty strong but among Independents Nussle shows a slight edge, 42 to 40. Negatives for both candidates are pretty low, especially considering the advertising climate, only 10 percent claim negative feelings towards Culver while 16 percent feel negative about Nussle. Positive feelings are also low, Culver gets 13 percent warm fuzzies while Nussle gets 16 percent cuddly feelings.
That tells me that support is soft for both candidates. Combine that with a tight race and I think we are looking at a quick race into the mud as the race closes down.
Braley maintains a 44-37 lead over Mike Whalen. That is smaller than previous polls. Crucially however, Whalen trails Braley by 10 percent among Independents, with only 32 percent favoring him as opposed to the 42 percent for Braley. Also telling, the poll shows 11 percent support among Republicans for Bruce Braley wile Whalen picks up only 4 percent of Democrats.
Lastly, the generic ballot question shows a seven point lead for Democrats, 43 to 36 percent.
posted by -cman- at 9/20/2006 03:59:00 PM
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